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OpenEnded
25 markets

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$196,700,113·3/15 traders·-$19,936·ended
0%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
I
influenz.eth
34/0
+$52,448
127d
R
rated
3/0
+$2,649
127d
sorcerer.05
0/1
-$9
127d

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$160,179,914·3/15 traders·+$93,422·ended
0%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
flow-trader-at-optiver
18/0
+$66,439
126d
0
033033033
2/0
+$19,970
126d
W
wokerjoesleeper
17/0
+$15,003
135d

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

$70,759,599·4/15 traders·+$1,310,174·ended
100%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
B
bobe2
4/0
+$1,781,730
126d
YatSen
2/0
+$132,396
126d
XAEA12Archangel
69/1
+$123,192
126d

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

$69,377,495·5/15 traders·+$113,075·ended
0%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
I
influenz.eth
87/0
+$47,210
127d
W
wokerjoesleeper
17/0
+$33,796
127d
flow-trader-at-optiver
2/0
+$33,126
126d

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

$44,437,792·6/15 traders·+$683,376·ended
2%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
WordleAddict
17/0
+$225,976
130d
tsybka
17/0
+$176,051
129d
SwissMiss
4/0
+$81,839
128d

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

$25,023,415·5/15 traders·+$187,512·ended
11%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
ScottyNooo
19/0
+$42,009
126d
S
SlenderMan
21/0
+$37,800
126d
Fusion1
5/0
+$35,890
126d

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

$23,242,717·0/15 traders·+$998·ended
0%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
0
033033033
1/0
+$998
126d

Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?

$21,791,533·7/15 traders·+$1,559,027·ended
0%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
0
033033033
20/0
+$374,617
134d
chungguskhan
1/0
+$299,400
134d
aenews2
2/0
+$146,692
134d

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

$19,415,752·2/15 traders·+$62,238·ended
0%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
T
TerreMoto
17/0
+$48,467
132d
DumplingBMF
1/0
+$19,920
126d
O
onekey09
18/0
+$14,463
129d

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

$14,582,459·4/15 traders·+$342,045·ended
8%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
cynical-reason
17/0
+$143,109
129d
Roflan-ludoman
205/2
+$90,276
127d
TealV
34/1
+$58,120
129d

Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?

$11,574,413·0/15 traders·+$1,039,352·ended
0%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
C
circleraybaococoboba
2/0
+$422,874
126d
G
GHHFJDFJ
17/1
+$380,348
130d
T
TRDJF
17/1
+$236,129
130d

US government shutdown Saturday?

$10,931,787·2/15 traders·+$95,034·ended
79%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
Labtrador
4/0
+$59,867
126d
ScottyNooo
3/0
+$16,138
126d
Dropper
1/0
+$8,143
126d

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

$9,793,949·4/15 traders·+$109,095·ended
3%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
R
rated
87/0
+$33,411
134d
aenews2
2/0
+$32,209
135d
J
johndoez
17/0
+$18,565
135d

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

$9,228,208·0/15 traders·+$296,734·ended
1%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
J
JanAMEX
211/0
+$197,885
126d
X
x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4
274/63
+$115,326
126d
0
0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b89661
595/0
+$111,798
126d

Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?

$9,006,874·2/15 traders·+$1,822·ended
1%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
I
influenz.eth
8/0
+$1,242
143d
W
wokerjoesleeper
9/0
+$527
143d
C
cigarettes
3/0
+$99
144d

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

$8,114,281·4/15 traders·+$2,300,187·ended
4%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
C
chickendinnerxxdd
18/0
+$1,638,000
131d
ImJustKen
17/0
+$386,792
132d
Naichli
18/0
+$82,611
131d

Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

$7,435,781·0/15 traders·+$2,997·ended
0%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
R
rated
3/0
+$2,997
141d

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

$7,275,080·2/15 traders·+$99,539·ended
0%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
I
influenz.eth
490/0
+$38,564
138d
R
rated
67/0
+$34,496
126d
flow-trader-at-optiver
7/0
+$10,577
151d

Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

$7,142,974·2/15 traders·+$11,402·ended
0%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
I
influenz.eth
144/0
+$7,526
150d
C
cigarettes
17/0
+$2,881
150d
W
wokerjoesleeper
14/0
+$630
151d

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

$6,833,673·8/15 traders·+$3,420,622·ended
25%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
S
slight-
36/0
+$2,023,399
133d
cynical-reason
17/3
+$547,557
138d
humanbeans
195/57
+$494,635
133d

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

$6,444,927·2/15 traders·+$30,847·ended
4%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
E
Eatpraylove
2/0
+$22,898
145d
K
Kvh1992
1/0
+$4,299
146d
Oompa-Loompa
1/0
+$2,218
146d

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

$5,984,187·5/15 traders·+$227,946·ended
17%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
ScottyNooo
71/0
+$150,987
132d
C
cqs
17/0
+$65,765
143d
Fusion1
7/0
+$35,893
131d

Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

$5,398,136·2/15 traders·+$49,130·ended
0%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
I
influenz.eth
365/0
+$29,106
142d
C
cigarettes
47/0
+$10,361
142d
W
wokerjoesleeper
62/0
+$8,213
146d

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?

$5,368,845·0/15 traders·+$1,050,125·ended
0%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
0
0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7
219/0
+$644,761
126d
0
0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b89661
199/0
+$273,083
126d
P
plzdontdropout
108/0
+$56,093
126d

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

$5,240,214·6/15 traders·+$196,460·ended
2%
Yes
Trader
TXs
Inflow
Last
SemyonMarmeladov
1/0
+$135,416
138d
ScottyNooo
23/0
+$30,324
138d
MEPP
1/0
+$9,510
138d