@

@outcomenoble

POLY 0x03c8…0e01
Position Win Rate
13.6%
Avg Duration
5d 7h
Top Win
+$1.06k
Volume
$832.40k
Realized Profits
-10.09
Total Trades
3,455
Unique Markets

Score (experimental)

Computed from realized P&L deltas and normalized vs tracked traders in this app.

41
Sharpe: -0.65
MetricValue
Volatility (↓ better)7.71
Returns-$10.09
Profitable days50%
Max loss (↓ better)-$10.50
Profit factor0.04
PnL (7D)
-10.09
Showing relative change from period start
Market PnL
+$41.433/7(10 markets)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

5d ago1d
+$77.31Holding 2.5k
Bought 6.5k @ 18¢
Sold 4.0k @ 20¢
30 trades

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >10% by Feb 20?

5d ago10m
-11.67
Bought 3.5k @ 2¢
Sold 3.5k @ 1¢
3 trades

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?

5d ago0s
+$0.00Holding 1.3k
Bought 1.3k @ 8¢
1 trade

Will Israel or the US target Tehran?

6d ago18h
-16.21
Bought 729.5 @ 15¢
Sold 729.5 @ 13¢
2 trades

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?

6d ago6m
+$0.00Holding 27.2
Bought 27.2 @ 99¢
2 trades

Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday?

6d ago22m
-34.75
Bought 1.5k @ 92¢
Sold 1.5k @ 89¢
3 trades
Recent Activity
49 total
February 21, 2026
SellWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
53.60 @ 15¢
+$8.04
5d ago
SellWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5.00 @ 15¢
+$0.75
5d ago
SellWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
95.00 @ 15¢
+$14.25
5d ago
SellWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
728.00 @ 15¢
+$109.20
5d ago
SellWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10.00 @ 15¢
+$1.50
5d ago
SellWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
30.00 @ 15¢
+$4.50
5d ago
SellWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
150.00 @ 15¢
+$22.50
5d ago
SellWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2.62 @ 15¢
+$0.39
5d ago
SellWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
104.00 @ 15¢
+$15.60
5d ago
SellWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5.00 @ 15¢
+$0.75
5d ago
SellWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6.67 @ 15¢
+$1.00
5d ago
SellWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
43.00 @ 15¢
+$6.45
5d ago
SellWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
120.48 @ 15¢
+$18.07
5d ago
SellWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1.17 @ 15¢
+$0.18
5d ago
SellWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
60.00 @ 15¢
+$9.00
5d ago