@outcomenoble | Track Prediction Market Traders in Real Time

Position Win Rate

13.6%

Avg Duration

5d 7h

Top Win

+$1.06k

Volume

$832.40k

Realized Profits

+$1.43k

Total Trades

3,455

Unique Markets

—

Score (experimental)

Computed from realized P&L deltas and normalized vs tracked traders in this app.

Sharpe: 0.37

Metric	Value
Volatility (↓ better)	154.36
Returns	+$1,434.25
Profitable days	28%
Max loss (↓ better)	-$35.50
Profit factor	10.00

PnL (30D)

+$1,434

Showing relative change from period start

Market PnL

+$181.38•12/13(25 markets)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

5d ago1d

+$77.31Holding 2.5k

Bought 6.5k @ 18¢

Sold 4.0k @ 20¢

30 trades

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >10% by Feb 20?

5d ago10m

-11.67

Bought 3.5k @ 2¢

Sold 3.5k @ 1¢

3 trades

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?

5d ago0s

+$0.00Holding 1.3k

Bought 1.3k @ 8¢

1 trade

Will Israel or the US target Tehran?

6d ago18h

-16.21

Bought 729.5 @ 15¢

Sold 729.5 @ 13¢

2 trades

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?

6d ago6m

+$0.00Holding 27.2

Bought 27.2 @ 99¢

2 trades

Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday?

6d ago22m

-34.75

Bought 1.5k @ 92¢

Sold 1.5k @ 89¢

3 trades

Recent Activity

210 total

February 21, 2026