@thewolfofpoly | Track Prediction Market Traders in Real Time

Position Win Rate

53.2%

Avg Duration

5d 21h

Top Win

+$16.98k

Volume

$11.92M

Realized Profits

+$184.45k

Total Trades

22,642

Unique Markets

—

Score (experimental)

Computed from realized P&L deltas and normalized vs tracked traders in this app.

Sharpe: 0.54

Metric	Value
Volatility (↓ better)	2791.01
Returns	+$41,891.79
Profitable days	79%
Max loss (↓ better)	-$3,055.26
Profit factor	6.17

PnL Over Time

+$184.4k+$40.5k (30D)

Market PnL

+$26.71k•6/9(15 markets)

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

1d ago17h

+$530.15

Bought 0.0 @ 0¢

Sold 538.2 @ 98¢

12 trades

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

1d ago18h

+$22.29k

Bought 10.9k @ 97¢

Sold 33.4k @ 98¢

146 trades

Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?

1d ago0s

+$0.00Holding 20.0

Bought 20.0 @ 65¢

1 trade

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

1d ago0s

+$0.00Holding 5.0

Bought 5.0 @ 61¢

1 trade

Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?

1d ago16h

+$96.00Holding 4.7k

Bought 7.7k @ 2¢

Sold 3.0k @ 5¢

22 trades

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by December 31, 2026?

1d ago13h

-9.24Holding 792.3

Bought 1.4k @ 48¢

Sold 603.8 @ 46¢

5 trades

Recent Activity

400 total

January 5, 2026

SellWill tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

5.57 @ 98¢•0x83de...2af5

+$5.49

1d ago