← Back to Leaderboard
@

@cynical_reason

POLY 0xce66…cc64
Polymarket
1D7D30DAll
Position Win Rate
70.1%
Avg Duration
7d 14h
Top Win
+$34.44k
Volume
$15.16M
Realized Profits
+$293.11k
Total Trades
9,728
Unique Markets
—

Score (experimental)

Computed from realized P&L deltas and normalized vs tracked traders in this app.

46
Sharpe: 0.13
MetricValue
Volatility (↓ better)11454.77
Returns+$293,114.22
Profitable days54%
Max loss (↓ better)-$128,065.07
Profit factor2.42
PnL (All)
+$293,114
Showing relative change from period start
Market PnL
+$30.26k•6/9(15 markets)

Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Feb 192h
+$0.00Holding 125.5
Bought 125.5 @ 1¢
6 trades

Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?

Feb 1810d
+$360.32Holding 757.0
Bought 3.4k @ 86¢
Sold 2.6k @ 100¢
6 trades

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Feb 180s
+$38.56k
Bought 0.0 @ 0¢
Sold 40.0k @ 96¢
1 trade

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Feb 1812d
+$1.69k
Bought 17.0k @ 16¢
Sold 57.3k @ 8¢
9 trades

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Feb 115d
+$71.83
Bought 60.3k @ 1¢
Sold 60.3k @ 1¢
35 trades

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Feb 919m
+$250.00Holding 50.0k
Bought 100.0k @ 98¢
Sold 50.0k @ 98¢
9 trades
Recent Activity
400 total
February 19, 2026
BuyWill the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1.39 @ 1¢
-$0.02
Feb 19
BuyWill the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1.99 @ 1¢
-$0.03
Feb 19
BuyWill the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1.84 @ 1¢
-$0.03
Feb 19
BuyWill the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1.19 @ 1¢
-$0.02
Feb 19
BuyWill the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
2.05 @ 1¢
-$0.03
Feb 19
BuyWill the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
117.09 @ 1¢
-$1.64
Feb 19
February 18, 2026
SellWill António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?
2.6k @ 100¢
+$2618.87
Feb 18
MergeWill António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?
378.51 @ 50¢
$189.25
Feb 18
SellWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
40.0k @ 96¢
+$38559.98
Feb 18
SellWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
42.3k @ 6¢
+$2535.48
Feb 18
RedeemWill Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?
33.6k @ 100¢
$33565.82
Feb 18
February 11, 2026
SellWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
24.4k @ 1¢
+$267.95
Feb 11
SellWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
11.7k @ 11¢
+$1286.96
Feb 11
February 10, 2026
RedeemUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
50.0k @ 100¢
$50000.00
Feb 10
MergeWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
300.0k @ 50¢
$150000.00
Feb 10